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Russia will Supply India's Military Hardware in 2013 - 2015


This year Russia will supply India's military hardware worth about 7.7 billion dollars, which represents more than 60% of the planned Russian exports and 80% of Indian imports. Beginning in 2013, the largest exporter of weapons to India will be the United States.


This year, an impressive result in the Russian-Indian military-technical cooperation will ensure the supply for several major programs (the value of the supply TSAMTO expected date of actual transfer of any type of weapon). It should be noted that a significant portion of these supplies will be implemented with a delay from the original schedules, producing such a high result in 2012.
The largest of the price setting will transfer the Indian Navy in December 2012 the aircraft carrier "Vikramaditya". The cost of upgrading the ship has changed several times and finally reached 2.34 billion dollars. The second major delivery will be planned transfer of two frigates of Project 1135.6 worth about $ 1 billion. A transfer will be the third largest lease of the Indian Navy in January of this year, a Project 971 nuclear submarine "Nerpa". According to recent reports, the cost of the contract has reached 920 million dollars.


In accordance with previously voiced delivery schedule, in 2012, India plans to transfer about 40 Mi-17V-5, 21 Su-30MKI (licensed assembly of the contract in 2000), 12 Su-30MKI (contract 2007), 9 MiG-29K/KUB deck fighters.
This year also will continue the program of modernization of MiG-29 aircraft BPA Tu-142, Mi-17 helicopters, repair DES Project 877 EKM, delivery of Ka-31, AL-55 engine, turbojet-50MT, simulators for Mi- 17 anti-ship missiles launchers "Club-S", licensed production of T-90S MBT, and some other programs.


It should be noted that U.S. leadership in the arms market in India will be temporary, that is related to the implementation of major contracts to supply aircraft BPA P-8I «Poseidon", military transport aircraft C-17A "Globemaster-3 'and helicopters AH-64D« Apache Longbow "actual transfer which will occur in the period 2013-2015.
Estimated U.S. exports military hardware to India in 2013 will amount to 3.06 billion dollars (2.03 billion dollars against, Russia) in 2014 - 3.7 billion ($ 2.23 billion from Russia) and in 2015 - 2.47 billion dollars (1.95 billion dollars in Russian).


Overall, however, Russia, mainly due to larger supplies in 2012, will retain the lead throughout the period of 2012-2016 years. with an estimated total volume of 15.6 billion dollars (in 2002-2011. - 14.78 billion dollars, also the first place).
United States over the period 2002-2011 gg. took 4th place (1.66 billion dollars) and second place in the period 2012-2016 gg. - About $ 10 billion. Very strong position on the arms market in India is Israel - 3.7 billion in 2002-2011. - Second, and 2.62 billion dollars in 2012-2016 years. (4th).

Shipments to the category of "tender" (results of which are not summed up) in the 2012-2016 years. amount to 11.2 billion dollars. That is the formal category of the tender is currently second in the period 2012-2016 gg. In general, the volume of imports of arms into India 2002-2011 years. TSAMTO valued at USD 25.65 MRD in 2012-2016 years. - 51.4 billion.


Leader in the arms market in India from 2016 onwards, while difficult to define, because over a third of deliveries in this period accounted for tenders, which are currently in progress. In addition, a number of major procurement programs in the early stages of discussion.


In 2012, India will retain the status of the world's largest importer of arms and close to 10 billion bar the import of arms (about 9.4 billion dollars). According to an existing package of orders for signed contracts, as well as the tenders, in 2014, this plate can be significantly overcome (estimated: 10.5 billion dollars in 2014, 12.5 billion dollars in 2015 and 11.3 billion dollars in 2016).
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David Kurniawan Nainggolan

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